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Unread 04-19-2022, 09:26 AM   #1
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Harry Gietler
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Default Gun Prices

IN the last 16 months Gas has gone up up about 150% higher, Food prices about 35-40%, ammo, well you know about that. So I would expect a ''BIG''
increase in Gun Prices at gun shows, the Southern ,and gun shops. Maybe
35-60% ? What do you Think?

Harry

P.S.--I should mention a 300% increase in lumber prices, Auto Prices are crazy, House prices-UP-UP-UP, Everything is going up, so Guns should be
Going up at the SAME PERCENTAGE!
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Unread 04-19-2022, 09:32 AM   #2
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which guns?

I'm not sure the prices of older gun will be affected - that is a matter of interest (not the financial kind)


modern guns - by example, the type used for self defense, have been affected by the old fashion rule of supply and demand for the last couple years.

supply has been affected by the pandemic keeping gun maker's employees home and supply chain issues
demand has been driven by pandemic fears and certainly by high crime rates


you have to eat- to some extent you need fuel for your truck - if funds are tight - do most folks NEED more guns?
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Unread 04-19-2022, 09:37 AM   #3
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alright I'll bite on this one.

I suppose that in the short term inflation and other relevant matters will drive people to ASK more for their guns. It remains to be seen by me from my various followings of GB, GI, and other private forums including this one if anyone is actually getting those prices. Most of the guns on GB have been being recirculated for months or even a year or more at a high price point. Most no reserve auctions, barring oddities and the extreme rarity, seem to actually sell for no more than they did 3 years ago. Maybe a little, but certainly not in the percentages you are talking about.

A huge increase in prices simply isnt sustainable. Every year there are less people that collect vintage shotguns. Prices won't tank, but they certainly won't climb into the atmosphere in the next 20 years. the exception in my mind is, and always will be, the rare ones. However, your parker VH 12 with a 2 frame a 28" barrels......eh, it will always be in the realm of reality.
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Unread 04-19-2022, 10:17 AM   #4
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I spend a lot of time on GB and GI.

I've seen a significant increase in prices for guns, both new and the old stuff like Winchester/Marlin Lever guns.

I think it started when the Govt started sending out the assistance checks.....

People had money to spend on guns.... That's just my theory in watching those two sites a lot. But the prices on things like lever guns has really increased.

Prices on old SxS's are all over the place, it's a lot harder to pin that one down. For example, you will sometimes see asking prices for run of the mill 12ga Trojans that are just ridiculous.....
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Unread 04-19-2022, 11:01 AM   #5
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I would say Parker prices--and even Repro prices--are substantially up over the past two years. It's inflation driving up prices, not surging ranks of Parkerphiles. As the odds of a recession (and stock market crash) over the next 12 months continue to mount, I speculate we are at peak prices. That has me reluctant to buy, but dang I can't wait to hit the tents at the Southern!

-Victor
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Unread 04-19-2022, 11:22 AM   #6
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Have you ever bought a "good" gun at a price that was disappointing after the sale?
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Unread 04-19-2022, 11:28 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Murphy View Post
Have you ever bought a "good" gun at a price that was disappointing after the sale?
Bill:

I hear ya! If it's a "good" gun, then I just gotta have it.

-Victor
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Unread 04-19-2022, 11:38 AM   #8
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I think a few dealers are actually gun hoarders and price guns so high there is no way they will have to let them go LOL. The most accurate pricing guide for vintage guns are auction results in my opinion. My feeling is prices are strong but not up even close to gas and food inflation.
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Unread 04-19-2022, 11:39 AM   #9
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Prices are up and I have a large number of new to the market buyers since COVID. I am in the market every single day of the year and there is a lot of new interest in these guns.
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Unread 04-19-2022, 12:19 PM   #10
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I’m not in agreement with auction sales being a good indicator of gun values.

The commission percentages an auction house levys on most all of the guns thes move weigh very heavily on what a buyer is willing to pay. That in itself unbalances the actual value of the gun itself.






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